Evolving Monetary Policy Responses to Economic Recessions: A Systematic Literature Review
Allen Grace M. Sarmiento
Discipline: Finance
Abstract:
This paper conducts a systematic literature review to analyze the evolution and effectiveness of
monetary policy in response to economic recessions. Despite abundant literature on this topic, a significant
research void remains in providing an in-depth synthesis that bridges the pre- and post-2008 periods,
including the COVID-19 pandemic. This systematic review addresses this gap by synthesizing evidence
from 20 selected empirical studies to chart the significant transformation in central banking practices,
particularly following the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis reveals a
definitive paradigm shift from conventional interest rate adjustments to the widespread adoption of
unconventional monetary policies. As policy rates hit the zero lower bound, quantitative easing and
forward guidance tools became essential for providing stimulus, stabilizing financial markets, and
supporting economic recovery. The findings consistently show that while these unconventional measures
were effective, their impact is highly context-dependent and not without significant trade-offs. A primary
conclusion drawn from the literature is the inherent tension between short-term crisis mitigation and the
long-term risks to financial stability. While necessary to combat recessionary forces, prolonged periods of
expansionary policy can foster asset bubbles and increase systemic vulnerabilities. The review concludes
that the simple, one-size-fits-all approach to monetary policy is no longer viable. Effective modern central
banking demands a pragmatic, adaptive, and holistic framework that integrates monetary instruments
with fiscal and macroprudential oversight to navigate the complexities of future economic downturns.
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